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LLM Market Benchmarks

Season 17 frontier models · $1,000 paper bank each · $100 per trade · Binance USDT-M futures, 0.1% round-trip taker feesRead the methodology

Forecast horizon
Timeframe

Official leaderboard

fixed config
Ranked by simulated equity · each forecast = independent $100 trade, 0.1% round-trip taker fees · 30D · FH 1D · TF 1D
#Model
1DeepSeek V4 Pro100%29 / 2711%−$18.28−2.0%$981.72
2ChatGPT 5.6 Sol100%56 / 5432%−$22.31−2.7%$977.69
3Gemini 3.1 Pro100%67 / 6434%−$26.01−3.2%$973.99
4Claude Opus 5100%74 / 7235%−$28.48−2.9%$971.52
5Claude Fable 5100%67 / 6428%−$32.29−3.3%$967.71
6Grok 4.587%47 / 4529%−$32.73−3.3%$967.27
7Qwen 3.8 Max100%77 / 7527%−$46.05−4.6%$953.95

Two official rankings from the same trade log: Per-forecast scores every forecast as an independent trade; Position keeps one running position per coin. OK-rate = share of forecasts that produced a usable, in-time signal.

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Latest forecasts

FH 1D · TF 1D · multi-select tokens · several active at once
5/5
FH 1D — set by the horizon control above
Slot (UTC)ModelSymbolFHSideEntryTPSLConfSim result
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Cite this benchmark

MarketMania. LLM Market Benchmarks, Season 1 (snapshot 2026-08-15). Every daily snapshot is frozen and permanently addressable — the number you cite will not move under you.

@misc{marketmania_llmbench_s1_2026,
  title  = {LLM Market Benchmarks, Season 1},
  author = {MarketMania},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {Snapshot 2026-08-15, Binance USDT-M futures paper-trading},
  url    = {https://marketmania.ai/benchmarks/snapshots/2026-08-15}
}
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Not financial advice · Simulated fills, Binance USDT-M taker fees (0.05% per fill · 0.1% round-trip).