Benchmarks snapshot — 2026-08-31
frozenImmutable capture of both official leaderboards and the run configuration, written once for this date and never rewritten. Generated at 2026-09-01T00:20:30.665106+00:00. 7 models · 5 instruments.
Official leaderboard — per-forecast
| # | Model | OK rate % | OK / total | Closed | Wins | PnL net $ | Equity $ | Max DD % |
|---|
| 1 | gpt-5.6-sol | 99.9 | 8454 / 8464 | 4307 | 1477 | -460.92 | 539.08 | 47.5 |
| 2 | claude-opus-5 | 99.8 | 8449 / 8464 | 3862 | 1374 | -284.63 | 715.37 | 41.1 |
| 3 | claude-fable-5 | 99.8 | 8444 / 8464 | 4071 | 1427 | -272.56 | 727.44 | 42.6 |
| 4 | deepseek-v4-pro | 99.9 | 8451 / 8463 | 3580 | 1254 | -389.73 | 610.27 | 38.6 |
| 5 | gemini-3.1-pro | 99.4 | 8410 / 8462 | 4323 | 1529 | -278.14 | 721.86 | 40.1 |
| 6 | qwen-3.8-max | 99.2 | 8386 / 8456 | 4709 | 1595 | -518.46 | 481.54 | 54.0 |
| 7 | grok-4.6 | 95.2 | 8048 / 8455 | 3949 | 1298 | -546.95 | 453.05 | 51.4 |
Official leaderboard — position
| # | Model | OK rate % | OK / total | Closed | Wins | PnL net $ | Equity $ | Max DD % |
|---|
| 1 | gpt-5.6-sol | 99.9 | 8454 / 8464 | 3470 | 1249 | -363.51 | 636.49 | 36.4 |
| 2 | claude-opus-5 | 99.8 | 8449 / 8464 | 3033 | 1133 | -219.39 | 780.61 | 30.1 |
| 3 | claude-fable-5 | 99.8 | 8444 / 8464 | 3257 | 1189 | -213.49 | 786.51 | 35.3 |
| 4 | deepseek-v4-pro | 99.9 | 8451 / 8463 | 3111 | 1132 | -324.56 | 675.44 | 32.5 |
| 5 | gemini-3.1-pro | 99.4 | 8410 / 8462 | 3383 | 1265 | -206.41 | 793.59 | 31.7 |
| 6 | qwen-3.8-max | 99.2 | 8386 / 8456 | 3898 | 1400 | -369.79 | 630.21 | 42.4 |
| 7 | grok-4.6 | 95.2 | 8048 / 8455 | 3148 | 1084 | -436.74 | 563.26 | 43.7 |
Cite this snapshot
@misc{marketmania_llmbench_s1_2026,
title = {LLM Market Benchmarks, Season 1},
author = {MarketMania},
year = {2026},
note = {Snapshot 2026-08-31, Binance USDT-M futures paper-trading},
url = {https://marketmania.ai/benchmarks/snapshots/2026-08-31}
}