{ "report": { "title": "Config Watch #1", "series_label": "WEEKLY · CONFIG WATCH", "issue_number": 1, "new_series": true, "issue_date": "2026-08-13", "language": "English", "windows": { "7d": { "start": "2026-08-05", "end": "2026-08-12", "label": "Aug 5-12, 2026" }, "30d": { "start": "2026-07-13", "end": "2026-08-12", "label": "Jul 13-Aug 12, 2026" } }, "window_note": "Both windows are frozen date ranges, not the Mon-Mon reporting window: issue #1 ran ad-hoc. From issue #2 onward, windows align to Mondays.", "methodology_version": "v1.1 + Config Watch amendments", "methodology_approval": "owner-approved 12.08", "methodology_hash": "e66c7e8c864a2233", "generated_at": "2026-08-13T04:32:27Z" }, "counters": { "7d": { "s1a_sims": 600, "s1b_sims": 2160, "waves_sims": 4547, "total": 7307 }, "30d": { "s1a_sims": 600, "s1b_sims": 2172, "waves_sims": 2120, "total": 4892 }, "grand_total": 12199 }, "key_finding": { "label": "OBSERVATION", "text": "Search found configurations that materially outperformed the default setup in-sample; whether that edge survives starts next week." }, "tldr": [ "OBSERVATION -- Search found configurations that materially outperformed the default setup in-sample on both windows; whether that edge survives out-of-sample starts next week.", "Defaults lost on both windows: 7d grid median -$99.4 (24.7% positive); 30d grid median -$221.0 (2.4% positive). All 7 solo-model defaults and the council-of-7 default were negative on both windows.", "Top result per window beat the best hand-tuned pre-search config: +$439.2 (7d) and +$868.4 (30d) -- search validation passed against independent, pre-search baselines.", "Cross-window robustness check: most tuned configs are fragile across windows; one family (fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5 core, 4h/1h, ladder+BE, conf>=60, farthest source) showed a cross-window robustness hint -- this is not independent validation. Real out-of-sample testing starts next week." ], "branches": { "7d": { "window": [ "2026-08-05", "2026-08-12" ], "window_label": "Aug 5-12, 2026", "counters": { "s1a_sims": 600, "s1b_sims": 2160, "waves_sims": 4547, "total": 7307 }, "stage1b_grid_histogram": { "n": 2160, "median_usd": -99.4, "positive_share": 0.2468, "nets": [ 3.6286, 93.2455, 3.6286, 73.7739, 107.3601, 73.7739, 73.7739, 107.3601, 73.7739, -118.0176, -57.3721, -118.0176, -169.8666, -53.4769, -169.8666, -169.8666, -53.4769, -169.8666, -236.4094, -236.4094, -236.4094, -171.7199, -75.1466, -171.7199, -171.7199, -75.1466, -171.7199, 177.3055, 36.4736, 177.3055, 185.0022, 44.2909, 185.0022, 185.0022, 44.2909, 185.0022, 164.8016, -23.1897, 164.8016, 377.5505, 264.9504, 377.5505, 377.5505, 264.9504, 377.5505, -60.5589, 18.9918, -60.5589, -1.3726, 28.5264, -1.3726, -1.3726, 28.5264, -1.3726, -83.4719, -70.7774, -83.4719, -110.7718, -7.5047, -110.7718, -110.7718, -7.5047, -110.7718, 22.3631, -39.6534, 22.3631, 72.4657, 60.9835, 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"2026-07-13", "to": "2026-08-12", "variant": "v0", "tokens": "ETH,SOL", "members": "claude-fable-5,deepseek-v4-pro,claude-opus-5,qwen-3.8-max", "trade_mode": "position", "same_side": "update", "opposite": "reverse", "no_signal": "hold", "time_stop": "none", "conf_mode": "each", "max_sideways": "1", "max_diff_side": "1", "tp_sl_source": "farthest", "min_conf": "60", "lev": "10", "stake": "450", "deposit": "1000", "refill": "0", "steps": "50:80,100:20", "be": "1", "tp_shift": "10", "sl_shift": "35" }, "score": { "net_usd": 868.4237, "trades": 42, "wr": 0.8, "max_dd_pct": 9.4, "profit_factor": 2.7802 }, "diversity_note": null, "cross_window": { "window": [ "2026-08-05", "2026-08-12" ], "net_usd": -21.7904, "trades": 13, "wr": 0.666667, "max_dd_pct": 10.3, "profit_factor": 0.9211, "gross_usd": 32.2096, "fees_usd": 54.0 }, "cross_window_other_branch": "7d", "members_short": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max", "tokens_short": "ETH+SOL", "fh_tf": "4h/1h", "big_line": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max · ETH+SOL · 4h/1h · Net +$868.4 · maxDD 9.4% · 42 trades · WR 80%", "percentile_vs_s1b_grid_pct": 99.9, "percentile_line": "Best of 4,892 simulations in the 30d branch (3-stage search) · grid median -$221.0 · better than 99.9% of the 2,172-config systematic grid (stage-1b; the waves stage that found this result searches beyond that grid).", "secondary_table": [ { "field": "Ladder", "value": "50:80, 100:20" }, { "field": "BE", "value": "on" }, { "field": "Shifts", "value": "TP +10 / SL +35" }, { "field": "Conf", "value": ">=60 (each)" }, { "field": "Source", "value": "farthest" }, { "field": "Entry", "value": "1/1" }, { "field": "Positional", "value": "update" }, { "field": "Stake", "value": "$450" } ], "extra_notes": [] }, { "rank": 2, "vals": { "fh": "1d", "tf": "1d", "from": "2026-07-13", "to": "2026-08-12", "variant": "v0", "tokens": "SOL,XRP,ETH", "members": "gemini-3.1-pro,gpt-5.6-sol,deepseek-v4-pro", "trade_mode": "position", "same_side": "update", "opposite": "reverse", "no_signal": "hold", "time_stop": "3x", "conf_mode": "each", "max_sideways": "2", "max_diff_side": "0", "tp_sl_source": "nearest", "min_conf": "60", "lev": "10", "stake": "300", "deposit": "1000", "refill": "0", "steps": "40:80,100:20", "be": "1", "tp_shift": "30", "sl_shift": "20" }, "score": { "net_usd": 590.5512, "trades": 24, "wr": 0.833333, "max_dd_pct": 11.0, "profit_factor": 2.9607 }, "diversity_note": null, "cross_window": { "window": [ "2026-08-05", "2026-08-12" ], "net_usd": 223.1156, "trades": 5, "wr": 1.0, "max_dd_pct": 0.0, "profit_factor": null, "gross_usd": 238.1156, "fees_usd": 15.0 }, "cross_window_other_branch": "7d", "members_short": "gemini-3.1-pro+gpt-5.6-sol+deepseek-v4-pro", "tokens_short": "SOL+XRP+ETH", "fh_tf": "1d/1d", "big_line": "gemini-3.1-pro+gpt-5.6-sol+deepseek-v4-pro · SOL+XRP+ETH · 1d/1d · Net +$590.6 · maxDD 11.0% · 24 trades · WR 83%", "percentile_vs_s1b_grid_pct": 99.6, "percentile_line": "Best of 4,892 simulations in the 30d branch (3-stage search) · grid median -$221.0 · better than 99.6% of the 2,172-config systematic grid (stage-1b; the waves stage that found this result searches beyond that grid).", "secondary_table": [ { "field": "Ladder", "value": "40:80, 100:20" }, { "field": "BE", "value": "on" }, { "field": "Shifts", "value": "TP +30 / SL +20" }, { "field": "Conf", "value": ">=60 (each)" }, { "field": "Source", "value": "nearest" }, { "field": "Entry", "value": "2/0" }, { "field": "Positional", "value": "update" }, { "field": "Stake", "value": "$300" } ], "extra_notes": [ "time_stop = 3x" ] }, { "rank": 3, "vals": { "fh": "4h", "tf": "1h", "from": "2026-07-13", "to": "2026-08-12", "variant": "v0", "tokens": "BTC,ETH,SOL", "members": "claude-fable-5,deepseek-v4-pro,claude-opus-5,qwen-3.8-max", "trade_mode": "position", "same_side": "update", "opposite": "reverse", "no_signal": "hold", "time_stop": "none", "conf_mode": "each", "max_sideways": "1", "max_diff_side": "1", "tp_sl_source": "farthest", "min_conf": "60", "lev": "10", "stake": "300", "deposit": "1000", "refill": "0", "steps": "50:80,100:20", "be": "1", "tp_shift": "10", "sl_shift": "35" }, "score": { "net_usd": 580.5166, "trades": 57, "wr": 0.777778, "max_dd_pct": 12.8, "profit_factor": 2.1343 }, "diversity_note": null, "cross_window": { "window": [ "2026-08-05", "2026-08-12" ], "net_usd": -11.5411, "trades": 15, "wr": 0.692308, "max_dd_pct": 6.9, "profit_factor": 0.9373, "gross_usd": 27.4589, "fees_usd": 39.0 }, "cross_window_other_branch": "7d", "members_short": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max", "tokens_short": "BTC+ETH+SOL", "fh_tf": "4h/1h", "big_line": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max · BTC+ETH+SOL · 4h/1h · Net +$580.5 · maxDD 12.8% · 57 trades · WR 78%", "percentile_vs_s1b_grid_pct": 99.6, "percentile_line": "Best of 4,892 simulations in the 30d branch (3-stage search) · grid median -$221.0 · better than 99.6% of the 2,172-config systematic grid (stage-1b; the waves stage that found this result searches beyond that grid).", "secondary_table": [ { "field": "Ladder", "value": "50:80, 100:20" }, { "field": "BE", "value": "on" }, { "field": "Shifts", "value": "TP +10 / SL +35" }, { "field": "Conf", "value": ">=60 (each)" }, { "field": "Source", "value": "farthest" }, { "field": "Entry", "value": "1/1" }, { "field": "Positional", "value": "update" }, { "field": "Stake", "value": "$300" } ], "extra_notes": [] } ], "solo_coin_side_note": { "vals": { "fh": "4h", "tf": "1h", "from": "2026-07-13", "to": "2026-08-12", "variant": "v0", "tokens": "SOL", "members": "claude-opus-5,claude-fable-5,gemini-3.1-pro,qwen-3.8-max,grok-4.5", "trade_mode": "position", "same_side": "update", "opposite": "reverse", "no_signal": "hold", "time_stop": "none", "conf_mode": "each", "max_sideways": "0", "max_diff_side": "0", "tp_sl_source": "median", "min_conf": "0", "lev": "10", "stake": "850", "deposit": "1000", "refill": "0", "steps": "50:40,100:60", "be": "1", "tp_shift": "0", "sl_shift": "50" }, "score": { "net_usd": 1225.2697, "trades": 22, "wr": 0.904762, "max_dd_pct": 27.9, "profit_factor": 5.1186 }, "members_short": "opus-5+fable-5+gemini-3.1-pro+qwen-3.8-max+grok-4.5", "tokens_short": "SOL", "excluded_reason": "fails publication rule: >=2 coins with pairwise different universes" } } }, "cross_window_robustness_check": { "naming_note": "Both histories are in-sample and overlapping; this is NOT out-of-sample (OOS). OOS begins issue #2.", "rows": [ { "config": "7d#1", "family": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+gpt-5.6-sol", "home_window": "7d", "home_net": 439.1661, "home_net_str": "+$439.2", "other_window": "30d", "other_net": 178.8059, "other_net_str": "+$178.8", "other_trades": 108, "other_wr": 0.700935, "verdict": "Held up" }, { "config": "7d#2", "family": "fable-5+qwen-3.8-max+gemini-3.1-pro+opus-5", "home_window": "7d", "home_net": 429.5417, "home_net_str": "+$429.5", "other_window": "30d", "other_net": -551.3078, "other_net_str": "-$551.3", "other_trades": 16, "other_wr": 0.1875, "verdict": "Collapsed" }, { "config": "7d#3", "family": "gpt-5.6-sol+opus-5", "home_window": "7d", "home_net": 398.5703, "home_net_str": "+$398.6", "other_window": "30d", "other_net": -76.3425, "other_net_str": "-$76.3", "other_trades": 79, "other_wr": 0.513158, "verdict": "Collapsed" }, { "config": "30d#1", "family": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max", "home_window": "30d", "home_net": 868.4237, "home_net_str": "+$868.4", "other_window": "7d", "other_net": -21.7904, "other_net_str": "-$21.8", "other_trades": 13, "other_wr": 0.666667, "verdict": "Collapsed" }, { "config": "30d#2", "family": "gemini-3.1-pro+gpt-5.6-sol+deepseek-v4-pro", "home_window": "30d", "home_net": 590.5512, "home_net_str": "+$590.6", "other_window": "7d", "other_net": 223.1156, "other_net_str": "+$223.1", "other_trades": 5, "other_wr": 1.0, "verdict": "Insufficient (n=5)" }, { "config": "30d#3", "family": "fable-5+deepseek-v4-pro+opus-5+qwen-3.8-max", "home_window": "30d", "home_net": 580.5166, "home_net_str": "+$580.5", "other_window": "7d", "other_net": -11.5411, "other_net_str": "-$11.5", "other_trades": 15, "other_wr": 0.692308, "verdict": "Collapsed" } ], "surviving_family": { "description": "fable+deepseek+opus core, 4h/1h, ladder+BE, conf>=60, farthest source (7d#1 approx-equals 30d#1/#3 family)", "honest_read": "Most tuned configs are fragile across windows. One family did not collapse in either direction: 7d#1 held up when evaluated on the 30d window (+$178.8, 108 trades), and the 30d#1/#3 family (same core members, same architecture) only mildly underperformed when evaluated on the 7d window (-$21.8, 13 trades). Real OOS testing starts next week." } }, "baselines": { "7d": [ { "label": "Best solo default (gemini-3.1-pro)", "net": -14.4463, "net_str": "-$14.4", "trades": 20, "wr_str": "40%", "dd_str": "2.2%", "pf": 0.925 }, { "label": "Worst solo default (grok-4.5)", "net": -329.1315, "net_str": "-$329.1", "trades": 32, "wr_str": "14%", "dd_str": "33.4%", "pf": 0.2668 }, { "label": "Council-of-7 default", "net": -164.8969, "net_str": "-$164.9", "trades": 34, "wr_str": "26%", "dd_str": "17.3%", "pf": 0.5928 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config A (pre-search)", "net": 137.3215, "net_str": "+$137.3", "trades": 7, "wr_str": "80%", "dd_str": "0.0%", "pf": 51.0719 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config B (pre-search)", "net": 295.8838, "net_str": "+$295.9", "trades": 27, "wr_str": "84%", "dd_str": "1.6%", "pf": 2.8356 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config C (pre-search)", "net": -21.7904, "net_str": "-$21.8", "trades": 13, "wr_str": "67%", "dd_str": "10.3%", "pf": 0.9211 } ], "30d": [ { "label": "Best solo default (fable-5)", "net": -432.4966, "net_str": "-$432.5", "trades": 99, "wr_str": "30%", "dd_str": "43.6%", "pf": 0.5773 }, { "label": "Worst solo default (grok-4.5)", "net": -770.1029, "net_str": "-$770.1", "trades": 65, "wr_str": "14%", "dd_str": "77.0%", "pf": 0.2605 }, { "label": "Council-of-7 default", "net": -693.4993, "net_str": "-$693.5", "trades": 63, "wr_str": "16%", "dd_str": "69.3%", "pf": 0.263 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config A (pre-search)", "net": 240.0725, "net_str": "+$240.1", "trades": 16, "wr_str": "79%", "dd_str": "9.3%", "pf": 2.1317 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config B (pre-search)", "net": 112.4575, "net_str": "+$112.5", "trades": 92, "wr_str": "71%", "dd_str": "36.1%", "pf": 1.1008 }, { "label": "Hand-tuned config C (pre-search)", "net": 793.7237, "net_str": "+$793.7", "trades": 42, "wr_str": "78%", "dd_str": "10.3%", "pf": 2.411 } ] }, "baselines_note": "Owner presets are independent baselines saved before the search began.", "patterns": { "7d": { "n_pool": 434, "n_top_decile": 43, "top_overrepresented_by_axis": [ { "axis": "Archetype", "value": "ladder", "raw_value": "ladder", "top_pct": 0.581, "top_pct_str": "58.1%", "all_pct": 0.389, "all_pct_str": "38.9%", "delta_pp": 19.199999999999996 }, { "axis": "Forecast horizon / timeframe", "value": "1d/4h", "raw_value": "1d/4h", "top_pct": 0.465, "top_pct_str": "46.5%", "all_pct": 0.078, "all_pct_str": "7.8%", "delta_pp": 38.7 }, { "axis": "Entry (max-sideways / max-diff-side)", "value": "4/2", "raw_value": "4/2", "top_pct": 0.442, "top_pct_str": "44.2%", "all_pct": 0.403, "all_pct_str": "40.3%", "delta_pp": 3.8999999999999977 }, { "axis": "Universe size (coins considered)", "value": "5", "raw_value": "5", "top_pct": 0.814, "top_pct_str": "81.4%", "all_pct": 0.59, "all_pct_str": "59.0%", "delta_pp": 22.4 }, { "axis": "Council size (models in ensemble)", "value": "2", "raw_value": "2", "top_pct": 0.465, "top_pct_str": "46.5%", "all_pct": 0.221, "all_pct_str": "22.1%", "delta_pp": 24.400000000000002 }, { "axis": "Model membership", "value": "qwen-3.8-max", "raw_value": "qwen-3.8-max", "top_pct": 0.791, "top_pct_str": "79.1%", "all_pct": 0.507, "all_pct_str": "50.7%", "delta_pp": 28.400000000000002 } ] }, "30d": { "n_pool": 623, "n_top_decile": 62, "top_overrepresented_by_axis": [ { "axis": "Archetype", "value": "ladder", "raw_value": "ladder", "top_pct": 0.516, "top_pct_str": "51.6%", "all_pct": 0.38, "all_pct_str": "38.0%", "delta_pp": 13.600000000000001 }, { "axis": "Forecast horizon / timeframe", "value": "4h/1h", "raw_value": "4h/1h", "top_pct": 0.984, "top_pct_str": "98.4%", "all_pct": 0.599, "all_pct_str": "59.9%", "delta_pp": 38.5 }, { "axis": "Entry (max-sideways / max-diff-side)", "value": "0/0", "raw_value": "0/0", "top_pct": 0.387, "top_pct_str": "38.7%", "all_pct": 0.244, "all_pct_str": "24.4%", "delta_pp": 14.3 }, { "axis": "Universe size (coins considered)", "value": "1", "raw_value": "1", "top_pct": 0.935, "top_pct_str": "93.5%", "all_pct": 0.209, "all_pct_str": "20.9%", "delta_pp": 72.60000000000001 }, { "axis": "Council size (models in ensemble)", "value": "5", "raw_value": "5", "top_pct": 0.516, "top_pct_str": "51.6%", "all_pct": 0.303, "all_pct_str": "30.3%", "delta_pp": 21.3 }, { "axis": "Model membership", "value": "qwen-3.8-max", "raw_value": "qwen-3.8-max", "top_pct": 0.629, "top_pct_str": "62.9%", "all_pct": 0.368, "all_pct_str": "36.8%", "delta_pp": 26.1 } ] }, "winning_knobs_top20_contrast": [ { "knob": "steps", "7d_value": "100:100", "7d_share": "20/20", "30d_value": "50:40,100:60", "30d_share": "18/20" }, { "knob": "be", "7d_value": "0", "7d_share": "19/20", "30d_value": "1", "30d_share": "20/20" }, { "knob": "min_conf", "7d_value": "50", "7d_share": "18/20", "30d_value": "0", "30d_share": "8/20" }, { "knob": "sl_shift", "7d_value": "-10", "7d_share": "18/20", "30d_value": "50", "30d_share": "16/20" }, { "knob": "tp_sl_source", "7d_value": "nearest", "7d_share": "15/20", "30d_value": "median", "30d_share": "20/20" } ], "winning_knobs_top20_raw": { "7d": { "tp_sl_source": { "nearest": 15, "average": 4, "median": 1 }, "steps": { "100:100": 20 }, "be": { "0": 19, "1": 1 }, "min_conf": { "50": 18, "0": 2 }, "conf_mode": { "each": 18, "avg": 2 }, "tp_shift": { "0": 20 }, "sl_shift": { "-10": 18, "0": 1, "30": 1 }, "same_side": { "update": 20 }, "opposite": { "reverse": 19, "close": 1 }, "max_sideways": { "4": 12, "2": 5, "1": 3 }, "max_diff_side": { "2": 12, "0": 3, "1": 5 } }, "30d": { "tp_sl_source": { "median": 20 }, "steps": { "50:40,100:60": 18, "50:50,100:50": 2 }, "be": { "1": 20 }, "min_conf": { "0": 8, "50": 4, "55": 4, "60": 4 }, "conf_mode": { "each": 10, "avg": 10 }, "tp_shift": { "0": 7, "-10": 13 }, "sl_shift": { "50": 16, "40": 4 }, "same_side": { "update": 20 }, "opposite": { "reverse": 19, "close": 1 }, "max_sideways": { "0": 20 }, "max_diff_side": { "0": 16, "1": 2, "2": 2 } } }, "observation": "Winning knobs differ by window: this argues against a one-size-fits-all config." }, "liquidation_note": "Liquidation is modeled by the simulation engine (10x leverage). Across all published configs, observed stop-loss levels stay well inside the distance that would trigger liquidation; max drawdown (maxDD) is reported on every config so readers can see realized risk directly rather than relying on this note alone.", "walk_forward": { "status": "This is an in-sample (IS) issue; no OOS results exist yet.", "plan": "The OOS fate of all six top-3 configs (three per window) becomes a standing section starting issue #2. A decay series tracked over 5-10 weeks is the core research question of this series: do LLM-ensemble configs found in-sample hold up out-of-sample, or decay/overfit?" }, "limitations": [ "Multiple testing: ~12,199 simulations searched; some winners are expected by chance alone.", "Antidotes shown in this issue: the full stage-1b histogram (not just the winners), declared search axes, independent pre-search baselines, explicit in-sample (IS) labeling throughout, and a walk-forward plan starting issue #2.", "Single market regime: both windows fall inside one regime; no regime-change evidence yet.", "Small trade counts on several configs (as few as 5 trades cross-window); treat those reads as directional, not conclusive.", "Research output, not financial advice." ], "counters_and_lineage": { "sims_per_stage": { "7d": { "s1a_sims": 600, "s1b_sims": 2160, "waves_sims": 4547, "total": 7307 }, "30d": { "s1a_sims": 600, "s1b_sims": 2172, "waves_sims": 2120, "total": 4892 } }, "stages": [ "council scan (s1a)", "skeleton grid (s1b)", "coordinate-ascent waves" ], "stage_design_owner": "owner", "windows": { "7d": { "start": "2026-08-05", "end": "2026-08-12", "label": "Aug 5-12, 2026" }, "30d": { "start": "2026-07-13", "end": "2026-08-12", "label": "Jul 13-Aug 12, 2026" } }, "generated_at": "2026-08-13T04:32:27Z", "methodology_version": "v1.1 + Config Watch amendments", "methodology_approval": "owner-approved 12.08", "methodology_hash": "e66c7e8c864a2233", "snapshot_principle": "This report is a frozen snapshot of the search taken at generated_at; numbers are not updated retroactively. Each week's issue re-runs the full 3-stage pipeline fresh over that week's windows." }, "research_to_date": { "this_report": { "council_search_simulations": 12199, "solo_search_simulations": 3217, "total_search_effort": 15416 }, "marketmania_research_to_date": { "as_of": "August 13, 2026, 06:57 UTC", "resolved_forecasts": "59,253", "resolved_forecasts_since": "Jul 11", "closed_sim_trades": "27,341", "counting_note": "Resolved = horizon expired. Counting rule tightened in this issue; not comparable with the 14,151+ figure quoted in earlier issues.", "models_tracked": 9, "assets": 5, "horizons": 5, "cadence": "hourly", "published_reports": 5 }, "source": "platform_counters_2026-08-13" }, "testing_next": [ "Next issue: the OOS fate of all six configs above -- does the surviving family keep its edge?", "Council vs. solo OOS: does the ensemble advantage persist after tuning?", "Monthly: formal multiple-testing correction once several OOS windows accumulate." ], "related_research": [ { "title": "Stability Index Run 2", "url": "marketmania.ai/research/reports/si-run-2.pdf" }, { "title": "Weekly Calibration #1", "url": "marketmania.ai/research/reports/weekly-calibration-2026-08-03.pdf" }, { "title": "Weekly Model Watch #1", "url": "marketmania.ai/research/reports/model-watch-2026-08-03.pdf" }, { "title": "Consensus Watch #1", "url": "marketmania.ai/research/reports/consensus-watch-2026-08-03.pdf" } ], "bibtex": "@techreport{mm_config_watch_2026w33,\n title = {Config Watch #1},\n author = {{MarketMania Research}},\n institution = {MarketMania},\n year = {2026},\n month = aug,\n day = {13},\n type = {Weekly Research Report},\n series = {Config Watch},\n number = {1},\n note = {Methodology v1.1 + Config Watch amendments, hash e66c7e8c864a2233},\n url = {https://marketmania.ai/research/reports/config-watch-2026-08-05.pdf}\n}", "sources": { "report_data_json": "/mnt/user-data/uploads/_Fable/research/configwatch/report_data.json", "platform_counters": "platform_counters_2026-08-13" } }